Elektrit saab tasuta: by 2040, 75% of the light-duty vehicle miles traveled in the US should be electric miles

Wednesday, December 8, 2010

by 2040, 75% of the light-duty vehicle miles traveled in the US should be electric miles

http://www.greencarcongress.com/2010/11/ec-20101115.html

Electrification Coalition releases Fleet Electrification Roadmap; suggests fleet adoption could put a cumulative 200,000 PHEVs and EVs on the road by 2015

15 November 2010

The analysis in the EC roadmap concludes that fleet adoption of grid-electric vehicles (PHEVs and EVs) could lead to a cumulative 200,000 units on the road by 2015. Click to enlarge.

The Electrification Coalition (EC) has released the Fleet Electrification Roadmap, an analysis of the business case for electric-drive technology adoption among the more than 16 million commercial, corporate, and government fleet vehicles in the United States. In 2009, the EC published its Electrification Roadmap, which proposes that by 2040, 75% of the light-duty vehicle miles traveled in the US should be electric miles. (Earlier post.)
The Fleet Roadmap is geared toward demonstrating targeted opportunities in which the lower operating costs of electric drive vehicles, coupled with the operational norms of commercial and government fleets, could make adoption of grid-electric vehicles (GEVs)—i.e., plug-in hybrid and electric vehicles (PHEVs and EVs)—highly attractive. The report includes a detailed examination of commercial and government fleets, highlighting common practices that could make them significant early adopters of GEVs.

Since the Electrification Coalition was formed one year ago, we have made enormous progress in moving electric vehicles to the forefront of the nation’s energy policy conversation. Our main focus continues to be the promotion of a comprehensive policy framework for accelerating consumer adoption of PHEVs and EVs. But it is important to consider all of the applications where electric drive technology makes sense, and what we have found is that the case is very strong for a number of fleet applications over the next five years. Fleet electrification alone will not solve our pressing energy security challenges, but by bringing costs down, it will provide a critical boost to the consumer electric vehicle market.

—Coalition Member Frederick W. Smith, Chairman, President, and CEO of FedEx Corporation

The Fleet Roadmap also identifies the most significant technological challenges facing fleet operators, and recommends targeted public policies to help overcome those challenges, including:

Tax credits for light-duty PHEVs and EVs deployed in fleets;
Tax credits for medium- and heavy-duty PHEVs and EVs;
Clean renewable energy bonds for infrastructure;
Allow immediate expensing of GEV purchases and supporting infrastructure for operators of certain fleets;
Guarantee of residual value for the first generation of lithium-ion batteries; and
Federal fleet electrification, including the Postal Service.

The Fleet Roadmap also presents the results of detailed total cost of ownership modeling for PHEVs and EVs in fleet applications for a number of industries. The analysis suggests that with targeted, temporary policies in place, fleet adoption of PHEVs and EVs could result in a cumulative 200,000 vehicles on the road by 2015.
PRTM, a global management consulting firm, partnered with the Electrification Coalition to provide the electric vehicle market analysis, technical input and life cycle cost modeling for the Fleet Electrification Roadmap.

The new study outlines how Fleet operators can be early adopters of electric drive technology, and serve as a catalyst for the broader consumer market. The combination of high utilization rates, predictable routes, common use of central parking facilities, and total cost of ownership approach to vehicle acquisitions will make EVs and PHEVs attractive to operators of several fleet segments.

These factors combined with implementation of operational innovation and policy levers could lead to EV and PHEV penetration in 2015 as high as 7% of fleet vehicle sales, or a fleet vehicle parc of more than 200,000. Such volumes would utilize some 20% of the announced capacity for advanced batteries and other components, benefiting the entire EV/PHEV sector in accelerating the scale linked cost reductions, and contributing to the faster adoption of EVs and PHEVs among consumers.

—Oliver Hazimeh, Partner and Head of the Global E-Mobility Practice at PRTM

Last week, GE announced plans to purchase 25,000 GEVs by 2015. (Earlier post.)
The Electrification Coalition, launched in November 2009, is committed to promoting policies and actions that facilitate the deployment of electric vehicles on a mass scale in order to combat the economic, environmental, and national security threats posed by US dependence on petroleum.
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